Another futures report.
One of the first ideas is that the mobile phone will be the main, if not only, access to the Internet for most people. This is one of those duh! forecasts in many ways. There are problems with this type of prediction: (1) the mobile phone will likely be unidentifiable as a mobile phone by 2020 (just think what it looked like in 1996); and (2) our phones now are hardly only phones, they are computers, media players, cameras, video recorders, calendars, messaging systems, gaming systems, and more. For these reasons, saying that mobile phones will be the primary access device for Internet use is both true and false. It’s true that we will likely access the Internet from small, portable devices, but to say that these are “mobile phones is just silly.